The 2026 NFL Divisional Round kicks off this weekend (Saturday, January 17th), featuring the league's top eight teams vying for a spot in their respective conference championships. Top seeds like the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots enter as clear favorites, while tighter matchups involving the Bills, Broncos, and Texans promise high drama.
NFL Divisional Round Predictions: Top Seeds Favored, But Upsets Loom

The 2026 NFL Divisional Round kicks off this weekend (Saturday, January 17th), featuring the league's top eight teams vying for a spot in their respective conference championships. Top seeds like the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots enter as clear favorites, while tighter matchups involving the Bills, Broncos, and Texans promise high drama.
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Saturday Showdowns: Bills aim to unseat Broncos, Seahawks host division rival
The weekend slate features two compelling matchups with differing expectations:
- Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos: This AFC clash pits Josh Allen's high-powered Bills offense against the AFC's top seed and their formidable defense. Experts are sharply divided on this outcome. While the Broncos secured the No. 1 seed, many believe the "on a mission" Bills could pull off a narrow upset to advance to the AFC Championship. The key will be which defense makes a crucial stop late in the game.
- San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: In a rematch of their Week 18 encounter, the NFC's top-seeded Seahawks are the consensus pick to defeat the injury-plagued 49ers. Seattle's potent run game, led by Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet, is expected to exploit San Francisco's defensive vulnerabilities. Most predictions forecast a comfortable Seahawks victory at home.
Sunday Slates: Patriots face hot Texans, Rams challenge Bears
Sunday brings two more intriguing contests, including a clash of momentum in the AFC and an offense-heavy NFC matchup:
- Houston Texans at New England Patriots: This game features two of the league's hottest teams, with the Texans on a 10-game winning streak and the Patriots at 14-1 since an early season slump. Experts anticipate a low-scoring, defensive struggle. The outcome is a toss-up, with predictions split between a narrow Patriots win and a slight edge for the red-hot Texans.
- Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears: The high-octane Rams offense is widely expected to be too much for the Bears' defense to handle. The Rams are the consensus pick in this matchup, with most analysts projecting a victory of at least a touchdown as they look to secure their spot in the NFC Championship game.
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Expert Picks Summary
The general consensus favors the top seeds to advance, with the Seattle Seahawks, New England Patriots, and Los Angeles Rams leading the charge. The tightest contest remains the Bills vs. Broncos game, which is expected to go down to the wire.
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